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Unions and the 2% inflation target
The UAW wants the social contract back
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Brent T Nyitray
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Is 5.9% GDP growth in the third quarter realistic?
Jerome Powell spoke at Jackson Hole last Friday, and didn’t break any new ground on the Fed’s guidance. Powell emphasized the Fed’s commitment to the 2…
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Brent T Nyitray
The Weekly Tearsheet: Housing affordability in the US.
The consumer price index showed that inflation continues to moderate. Prices rose 0.2% month-over-month and 3.2% year-over-year. Shelter accounted for…
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Brent T Nyitray
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The inflationary and deflationary forces emanating out of Asia.
As expected, the Fed hiked the Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points at the July FOMC meeting. Investors hoping to hear an “all-clear” signal from the Fed…
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Brent T Nyitray
Where is the recession we were promised?
Markets spent last week focusing on earnings with little important economic news. The upcoming week will be dominated by the Fed meeting on Tuesday and…
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Brent T Nyitray
Are we about to see a renaissance in homebuilding?
Despite all of the gloom out there for the real estate sector, a bright spot is potentially emerging at long last: homebuilding. Over the past couple of…
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Brent T Nyitray
2
Week in Review: Plotting the Fed Funds Forecast over time
As expected, the Fed delivered a “hawkish pause” at its June meeting last week. The Fed maintained the Fed Funds rate at its current level, but signaled…
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Brent T Nyitray
The Weekly Tearsheet: Predicting the Fed's next move
Last week was relatively uneventful as we had little economic data to work with and the Fed is in the quiet period ahead of the June 15-16 FOMC meeting…
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Brent T Nyitray
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